{"id":3969,"date":"2025-04-08T05:00:31","date_gmt":"2025-04-08T05:00:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/crypto-analyst-warns-of-volume-drop-that-could-trigger-60-bitcoin-price-crash-to-49000\/"},"modified":"2025-04-08T05:00:31","modified_gmt":"2025-04-08T05:00:31","slug":"crypto-analyst-warns-of-volume-drop-that-could-trigger-60-bitcoin-price-crash-to-49000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/crypto-analyst-warns-of-volume-drop-that-could-trigger-60-bitcoin-price-crash-to-49000\/","title":{"rendered":"Crypto Analyst Warns Of Volume Drop That Could Trigger 60% Bitcoin Price Crash To $49,000"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Crypto analyst <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/dogecoin-open-interest-crashes\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Melika Trader<\/a> has warned of a volume drop that could trigger a 60% Bitcoin price crash. The analyst provided an in-depth analysis of what this price crash could mean and if it would mark the end of the bull run.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>How The Bitcoin Price Could Crash By 60% And Drop To $49,000<\/h2>\n<p>In a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/chart\/BTCUSDT\/LTft7JBM-Could-Bitcoin-Crash-60-But-Only-20-of-Traders-Lose\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">TradingView post<\/a>, Melika Trader revealed how the Bitcoin price could crash by 60% and drop to $49,000. The analyst noted that BTC is hanging just above a <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-the-ideal-buy-zone\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">critical support zone<\/a>, an area he claimed many traders recognize as the \u201cmost important support level\u201d from a volume perspective on Binance.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>His accompanying chart showed that the Bitcoin price could suffer a 60% drop once it loses the former trend line at $75,000. The flagship crypto is also in danger, having lost the critical support at around $83,000. This <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-realized-price-model-signals-correction-may-still-have-weeks-to-run-details\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">drop to $49,000<\/a> would bring BTC back toward the high-volume range near $30,000.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This provides an ultra-bearish outlook for the Bitcoin price. However, Melika Trader raised a twist, stating that only 20% of traders might actually lose. He noted that, according to Binance\u2019s volume profile data, the majority of buying activity and position accumulation happened below $35,000.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large wp-image-726334\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Bitcoin-chart-from-Melika-Trader.png?w=512&#038;resize=512%2C212\" alt=\"Bitcoin\" width=\"512\" height=\"212\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The analyst further mentioned that most <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-long-term-holder-begin-accumulating\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">long-term holders<\/a> and smart money entered during the 2022\/2023 accumulation range. The Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) is also said to show significant support below the current Bitcoin price, with minimal trading volume at higher levels. Melika Trader remarked that only a minority of traders bought BTC during its late-stage bull run above $70,000.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the majority of investors are still in profit or break-even, even if the Bitcoin price retraces back to its base. As such, most traders are safe, as BTC risks a drop to as low as $49,000.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>Why BTC\u2019s Bull Market Is Over<\/h2>\n<p>CryptoQuant\u2019s CEO, Ki Young Ju, recently asserted that <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/cryptoquant-ceo-says-bitcoin-bull-cycle-is-over\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">BTC\u2019s bull market<\/a> is over amid the Bitcoin price decline. He alluded to the \u2018Realized Cap\u2019 metric to explain his confidence that the bull run is over. The CryptoQuant CEO noted that if Realized Cap is growing but Market Cap is stagnant or falling, it means capital is flowing in but prices aren\u2019t rising.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Ki Young Ju noted that this is a clear bearish signal, and this is what is currently happening. Capital is entering the market right now, but the Bitcoin price isn\u2019t responding, which he claims is typical of a bear market. The CryptoQuant CEO explained that even large purchases like MicroStrategy\u2019s aren\u2019t pushing prices up because there is too much sell pressure at the moment.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Ki Young Ju again affirmed that current data points to the Bitcoin price being in a bear market. He noted that sell pressure could ease anytime but warned that historically, real reversals take at least six months. As such, the CryptoQuant CEO believes a short-term rally seems unlikely.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $77,000, down over 7% in the last 24 hours, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/coinmarketcap.com\/currencies\/bitcoin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">data<\/a> from CoinMarketCap.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/aoU4M9oq\/\" alt=\"Bitcoin\" width=\"2301\" height=\"1460\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Crypto analyst Melika Trader has warned of a volume drop that could trigger a 60% Bitcoin price crash. The analyst provided an in-depth analysis of what this price crash could mean and if it would mark the end of the bull run.\u00a0 How The Bitcoin Price Could Crash By 60% And Drop To $49,000 In&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3970,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[2114,21,22,1132,28,29,32,33,34,35,36,1423,263,1904,2115,523,2116,2117,2118],"class_list":["post-3969","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-accumulation-range","tag-binance","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-long-term-holders","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-btc","tag-btc-news","tag-btc-price","tag-btcusd","tag-btcusdt","tag-coinmarketcap","tag-cryptoquant","tag-ki-young-ju","tag-melika-trader","tag-microstrategy","tag-realized-cap","tag-volume-profile-visible-range","tag-vpvr"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3969","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3969"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3969\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3970"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3969"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3969"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3969"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}