Ethereum has improved the setup by making a new cycle high and clearing the $4,000 zone, but it now sits wedged beneath the final two technical hurdles from 2021\u2014\u201cthe 2021 high in May and the 2021 high, which is the all-time high.\u201d He frames the sequence plainly: \u201cOnce ETH breaks this high, ETH has officially gone onto a bull market.\u201d Until that confirmation arrives, he treats talk of an imminent \u201cDoge to the moon\u201d phase as premature.<\/p>\n
Price action on Dogecoin itself has not helped the cause. Vision Pulsed highlights a conspicuous topping-tail candle that formed after traders \u201cpiled in,\u201d calling it \u201cdefinitely not the candle you want to see.\u201d He points to a prior instance where a similar wick preceded a local reversal, using it to caution against extrapolating short squeezes into sustainable trend.<\/p>\n
In his read, Dogecoin remains in a broad, choppy accumulation\u2014an area he sketches as a bottoming process that can include fakeouts on both sides\u2014rather than a confirmed uptrend. Even in a constructive scenario, he warns that failure of the broader conditions could force \u201cone more\u201d downside sweep before any genuine altseason takes hold.<\/p>\n
Timing is a second pillar of his analysis. He flags the 486-day mark from the most recent Bitcoin halving as a recurring inflection in prior cycles. \u201cWe are fastly approaching what would be considered the final bull-run push in 2021\u2026 486 days from the halving,\u201d he says, recalling that both of the last two cycles saw a sizable correction and then a final rally around that window.<\/p>\n
With April 19, 2024 as the halving date, August 18, 2025 is the analogous threshold this time\u2014a date he treats as context, not destiny. \u201cThere are no guarantees,\u201d he stresses, reflecting on the limits of historical rhyme.<\/p>\n
Liquidity\u2014through the lens of the popular M2 money supply overlay\u2014remains supportive, but not determinative in his view. He acknowledges that \u201ceveryone and their mother\u201d watches M2 and that it currently \u201csays there is a chance for a rally in this time period.\u201d Yet he underscores that the relationship is not perpetual: in past cycles, M2 continued higher even as crypto rolled into a bear market. The takeaway is pragmatic and non-dogmatic: \u201cWe\u2019ll use it until it doesn\u2019t work,\u201d but it cannot be a guarantee of an extended bull run on its own.<\/p>\n
From this macro-and-liquidity scaffold, he distills a clear gating function for Dogecoin\u2019s headline target. For a sustained advance toward one dollar, three conditions should align: Ethereum must break above its 2021 highs to confirm a fresh bull market; the halving-cycle \u201cextension\u201d window\u2014centered on the ~486-day post-halving rhythm\u2014needs to open the historical runway for a terminal rally; and global M2 expansion needs to stay supportive enough to keep risk appetite.<\/p>\n
Inside Dogecoin\u2019s own tape, he allows for meaningful volatility without structural change. \u201cCould we have bullish swings back and forth to 30 cents? Sure,\u201d he says, framing such moves as tradable ranges within a larger consolidation rather than the start of the terminal advance. What would convert that range into trend is not a single candlestick or an isolated breakout, but the multi-asset alignment he repeats throughout the update.<\/p>\n
At press time, DOGE traded at $0.22.<\/p>\n
![\"Dogecoin](\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/DOGEUSDT_2025-08-11_17-11-31.png?resize=1024%2C454\")
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
In his latest market update, the crypto analyst known as VisionPulsed tempers bullish hopes for Dogecoin, arguing that a move to the long-sought $1 mark will require a precise alignment of market forces that has yet to materialize. While acknowledging speculative bursts are possible, he warned that the broader setup remains incomplete, keeping the meme…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6383,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[63,374,64,65,216,375],"class_list":["post-6382","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dogecoin","tag-doge","tag-doge-news","tag-doge-price","tag-dogecoin","tag-dogecoin-news","tag-dogecoin-price"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6382","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6382"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6382\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6383"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6382"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6382"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6382"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}