{"id":8085,"date":"2025-11-07T06:00:28","date_gmt":"2025-11-07T06:00:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/warning-signals-bitcoin-365-day-moving-average-at-risk-of-collapse\/"},"modified":"2025-11-07T06:00:28","modified_gmt":"2025-11-07T06:00:28","slug":"warning-signals-bitcoin-365-day-moving-average-at-risk-of-collapse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/warning-signals-bitcoin-365-day-moving-average-at-risk-of-collapse\/","title":{"rendered":"Warning Signals: Bitcoin 365-Day Moving Average At Risk of Collapse"},"content":{"rendered":"

The cryptocurrency market is currently facing significant bearish pressure, with Bitcoin (BTC) struggling to reclaim previously crucial support levels.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Recent data <\/a>from CoinGecko indicates that Bitcoin has retraced nearly 6% over the past week, a decline that has impacted other major cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Binance Coin (BNB), and Solana (SOL), all of which have experienced double-digit losses during the same period.<\/p>\n

Galaxy Digital Lowers Bitcoin Price Target<\/h2>\n

This downturn marks a stark contrast to the bullish sentiment observed earlier in October, when Bitcoin surged to record its current record high slightly above the $126,000 mark due to a wave of margin buying.\u00a0<\/p>\n

However, the euphoria was short-lived, as approximately $20 billion in leveraged positions across the crypto market were abruptly liquidated just days later on October 10, contributing to the ongoing lack of confidence among investors.<\/p>\n

Michael Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital recently revised <\/a>its year-end Bitcoin price target down to $120,000, a significant cut from the previous estimate of $185,000, attributing this adjustment to the “significant leverage wipeout.”\u00a0<\/p>\n

Market analytics firm CryptoQuant has pointed out that Bitcoin’s drop below its 365-day moving average near $102,000 could signal a deeper retreat. This moving average has historically acted as a critical support level during this bull cycle, and its failure to hold could lead to a more substantial correction in Bitcoin’s price.\u00a0<\/p>\n

In their analysis, CryptoQuant experts elaborated on the conditions necessary for Bitcoin to reverse its current trajectory and potentially reach new all-time highs. They observed that Bitcoin led a global risk-off movement, testing the critical $100,000 support level.\u00a0<\/p>\n

This decline was influenced by a stronger dollar and ongoing uncertainties regarding Federal Reserve (Fed) policy, which have dampened broader risk appetites across various asset classes.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Notably, there have been four consecutive sessions of approximately $1.3 billion in net outflows from US spot BTC ETFs, reversing what had been one of the strongest tailwinds for the market in 2025.<\/p>\n

This diminished demand in the spot market has coincided with forced deleveraging, resulting in over $1 billion in long liquidations at recent lows, which briefly breached intraday support before dip buyers stepped in.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Stabilization Of ETF Flows Crucial<\/h2>\n

The options market has further intensified volatility, as dealers remain net short gamma around the $100,000 strike, leading to increased hedging activity near this critical level.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The $100,000 mark now stands as a psychological barrier, and any stabilization in ETF flows could shift market sentiment, provided no new macroeconomic shocks occur.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin\"<\/p>\n

On the macroeconomic front, the analysts assert <\/a>that the current environment remains supportive, albeit clouded by the ongoing government shutdown in Washington. However, policy clarity remains elusive.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point cut in October, which included some dissenting opinions, was accompanied by a cautious tone that pushed back against expectations for another cut in December.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Markets are currently pricing in a 60-65% chance of a follow-up move, but as the Fed\u2019s blackout period continues, policymakers may become more comfortable with the idea of pausing, which would help maintain a firm dollar and tight credit conditions.<\/p>\n

For Bitcoin to break higher sustainably, CryptoQuant\u2019s analysis suggests that a reversal in exchange-traded fund outflows and renewed confidence in risk assets will likely be necessary.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The cryptocurrency market is currently facing significant bearish pressure, with Bitcoin (BTC) struggling to reclaim previously crucial support levels.\u00a0 Recent data from CoinGecko indicates that Bitcoin has retraced nearly 6% over the past week, a decline that has impacted other major cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Binance Coin (BNB), and Solana (SOL), all of which…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8086,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[245],"tags":[22,28,29,32,33,34,36,51,53],"class_list":["post-8085","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-btc","tag-btc-news","tag-btc-price","tag-btcusdt","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8085","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8085"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8085\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8086"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8085"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8085"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8085"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}