Momentum Turns Against Bitcoin On The 6-Week LMACD<\/b><\/h2>\n
The technical outlook highlights a strong warning from Severino, who argues that Bitcoin is nowhere close to staging the kind of explosive recovery many are waiting for.<\/p>\n
Severino\u2019s message revolves around momentum, which he says is now firmly pointed downward<\/a>. The momentum is cited using the recent crossover on the 6-week LMACD, which is known for its decisive crossovers that confirm long-term trend changes.<\/p>\n The 6-week LMACD is a lagging signal, meaning that by the time it flips bearish, Bitcoin is already well into a downturn. The chart confirms this with multiple examples: Bitcoin entered extended red phases lasting 812 days, 861 days, and 686 days following previous bearish crossovers.<\/p>\n Because the signal lags price action, Bitcoin typically bottoms long after the crossover occurs. Severino noted that bear-market lows always appear between 250 and 365 days after the bearish flip, not within a few weeks. Therefore, traders expecting a bottom only 40 days after the new signal are ignoring how consistently slow this indicator behaves.<\/p>\n The chart also highlights how severe each downturn becomes once the LMACD flips bearish. Previous cycles saw drawdowns of roughly 69% to 75% from the moment the cross happened, even though Bitcoin had already fallen significantly before the indicator flashed.<\/p>\n Please pay attention to this post if you want to understand why Bitcoin is highly unlikely to suddenly spring back into a bull run<\/p>\n One word: Momentum<\/p>\n The 6-week LMACD has some of the cleanest crossovers representing pivotal trend change confirmation points. The signal lags,\u2026 pic.twitter.com\/mq9uR2Fqec<\/a><\/p>\n \u2014 Tony “The Bull” Severino, CMT (@TonyTheBullCMT) November 22, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/p>\n
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<\/p>\nA Possible Long Road Before Any Significant Recovery<\/b><\/h2>\n