{"id":9144,"date":"2025-12-31T06:00:24","date_gmt":"2025-12-31T06:00:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/bitcoin-retail-optimism-returns-to-end-2025-what-usually-follows\/"},"modified":"2025-12-31T06:00:24","modified_gmt":"2025-12-31T06:00:24","slug":"bitcoin-retail-optimism-returns-to-end-2025-what-usually-follows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/bitcoin-retail-optimism-returns-to-end-2025-what-usually-follows\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Retail Optimism Returns To End 2025\u2014What Usually Follows?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Data shows crowd sentiment on social media has tilted toward optimism again for Bitcoin. Here&#8217;s what history suggests could happen next.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin Social Volume Suggests Rise Of Greed<\/h2>\n<p>In a new Social Volume,&#8221; measuring the total amount of posts\/messages\/threads on the major social media platforms that are making unique mentions of a given term or topic.<\/p>\n<p>For judging the degree of sentiment around BTC that&#8217;s present on social media, Santiment has filtered the indicator for both Bitcoin-related terms and sentiment-related ones. More specifically, the analytics firm has applied to the BTC Social Volume the terms &#8220;higher&#8221; and &#8220;above&#8221; to pinpoint bullish comments, and &#8220;lower&#8221; and &#8220;below&#8221; to gauge bearish sentiment.<\/p>\n<p>Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows how the two types of Bitcoin Social Volume have changed over the last few months:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/G9Y0blLXcAALoH6?format=jpg&amp;name=4096x4096\" alt=\"Bitcoin Social Volume\" width=\"3009\" height=\"1693\" \/><\/p>\n<p>As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Social Volume has just seen an uptick, although not a very significant one. Bullish comments have outpaced the bearish ones in this spike, suggesting that the retail crowd is getting optimistic about where BTC will head as New Year&#8217;s approaches.<\/p>\n<p>If history is anything to go by, though, this optimism may not actually be a positive sign for the cryptocurrency. Generally, BTC and digital asset markets tend to move in a direction that goes contrary to the expectations of the majority. The analytics firm has noted that many short-term Bitcoin swings in the last three months have followed this pattern. From the chart, it&#8217;s visible that a spike in bearish calls has led to price bounces, while greed on social media has coincided with local tops.<\/p>\n<p>Considering this trend, it&#8217;s possible that the latest surge in positive social media comments surrounding Bitcoin could end up proving to be a bearish signal. Though that said, the intensity of the greedy sentiment hasn&#8217;t been too high so far.<\/p>\n<p>In some other news, cumulative Bitcoin returns have flattened out for all trading sessions recently, as CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has pointed out in an X <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/JA_Maartun\/status\/2005701119436292436\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">post<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/G9Wuie7bUAEfxrO?format=jpg&amp;name=large\" alt=\"Bitcoin Returns By Session\" width=\"1600\" height=\"900\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The trading sessions in the chart correspond to periods when users from a specific market are likely to be active. In the first half of December, Bitcoin&#8217;s gains were dominated by the US session, but recently, returns have flatlined for all three of the US, Europe, and Asia-Pacific.<\/p>\n<p>This suggests that no trader demographic is diverging in behavior. &#8220;Market momentum is neutral across the board,&#8221; noted Maartunn.<\/p>\n<h2>BTC Price<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin has been stuck in a phase of consolidation recently as its price is still trading around $88,000.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/P3L4QfRO\/\" alt=\"Bitcoin Price Chart\" width=\"1486\" height=\"915\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Data shows crowd sentiment on social media has tilted toward optimism again for Bitcoin. Here&#8217;s what history suggests could happen next. Bitcoin Social Volume Suggests Rise Of Greed In a new Social Volume,&#8221; measuring the total amount of posts\/messages\/threads on the major social media platforms that are making unique mentions of a given term or&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9145,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[245],"tags":[22,28,4268,262,4269,32,36],"class_list":["post-9144","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin-retail","tag-bitcoin-sentiment","tag-bitcoin-social-volume","tag-btc","tag-btcusdt"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9144","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9144"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9144\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9145"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9144"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9144"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9144"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}