{"id":9961,"date":"2026-02-12T06:00:27","date_gmt":"2026-02-12T06:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/xrp-wave-4-bounce-gains-steam-final-shakeout-still-ahead\/"},"modified":"2026-02-12T06:00:27","modified_gmt":"2026-02-12T06:00:27","slug":"xrp-wave-4-bounce-gains-steam-final-shakeout-still-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/xrp-wave-4-bounce-gains-steam-final-shakeout-still-ahead\/","title":{"rendered":"XRP Wave 4 Bounce Gains Steam \u2014 Final Shakeout Still Ahead?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CasiTrades\/status\/2021339489432469622?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">XRP<\/a> is showing strength in its Wave 4 bounce following last week\u2019s sharp sell-off. While short-term momentum is building, the larger downtrend hasn\u2019t been broken yet, leaving the possibility of one final push lower before a true recovery can take hold.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Wave 4 Relief Bounce Unfolds After Brutal Capitulation<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>XRP is currently moving through a Wave 4 relief phase after last Thursday\u2019s aggressive sell-off. capitulation likely took place. However, it also raises the probability that the broader correction may still require one more wave down before fully completing.<\/p>\n<p>The rebound since that flush has shown strength, which is typical for a Wave 4 reaction after a deeply oversold move. So far, price has already reached the first Wave 4 target at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement near $1.52. This level also aligns with the macro 0.65 retracement, creating a strong confluence zone where temporary resistance would be expected during a bounce of this nature.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large wp-image-881032\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/XRP-chart-from-CasiTrades-1.jpg?w=512&#038;resize=512%2C384\" alt=\"XRP\" width=\"512\" height=\"384\" \/><\/p>\n<p>There is still room for the relief to extend higher toward the $1.65 region, where the 0.5 retracement and macro 0.618 Fib converge. That level now stands as the key decision point. A sustained move above it would strengthen the recovery outlook, while rejection there would increase the likelihood of a wave down to complete the correction.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>$1.65: The Line In The Sand For XRP\u2019s Next Big Move<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Analyst CasiTrades further explained that if price fails to reclaim and hold $1.65 as support, it would likely pave the way for a final impulsive leg lower, with downside targets sitting around $1.09 and potentially as deep as the $0.90 region.<\/p>\n<p>She noted that the recent relief rally has already helped reset the RSI from extremely oversold conditions. As a result, a drop into those lower targets could form a bullish divergence on momentum indicators, which often marks strong long-term buying opportunities, if the setup materializes.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, if XRP successfully breaks above $1.65 and flips it into solid support, the outlook shifts. In that scenario, the focus would be on waiting for a confirmed back-test of the reclaimed level, using that strength as a more favorable and structured entry rather than chasing price prematurely.<\/p>\n<p>CasiTrades emphasized that this is not the moment for panic selling. XRP is hovering near the deeper end of a broader correction, and major technical levels across exchanges have already been tested. Thus, the anticipated final wave down either shortens or fails altogether, potentially marking the beginning of a stronger recovery phase.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/KZJltYim\/\" alt=\"XRP\" width=\"2084\" height=\"1628\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>XRP is showing strength in its Wave 4 bounce following last week\u2019s sharp sell-off. While short-term momentum is building, the larger downtrend hasn\u2019t been broken yet, leaving the possibility of one final push lower before a true recovery can take hold. Wave 4 Relief Bounce Unfolds After Brutal Capitulation XRP is currently moving through a&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[140],"tags":[4522,4523,1598,2082,149,104,148,326,327,151,152],"class_list":["post-9961","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-xrp","tag-bullish-divergence-pattern","tag-capitulation","tag-casitrades","tag-fibonacci-retracement-level","tag-ripple","tag-rsi","tag-xrp","tag-xrp-news","tag-xrp-price","tag-xrpusd","tag-xrpusdt"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9961","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9961"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9961\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9961"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9961"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ad-doge.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9961"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}